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Game By Game Analysis for Week 4

Our Game-By-Game Analysis provides a detailed look at every game this week. We observe how the teams in each game match up against each other on offense as well as defense.

Each analysis is completed with a predicted winner for each game, including the projected point spread.


The Games


Visitor @ Home Sunday, Sep 28 2025, 1:00 PM
When the Saints have the ball
Saints OffenseBills Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 236.88  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 170.24
AVG Passing TDs: 1.12  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.12
AVG Rushing Yards: 94.29  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 136.18
AVG Rushing TDs: .53  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: 1.41
AVG Sacks Allowed: 2.88  AVG Sacks: 2.12
AVG Ints Thrown: .71  AVG Ints: .76
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .43  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .41
Offensive Penalties: 6.94  Defensive Penalties: 4.88
 
When the Bills have the ball
Bills OffenseSaints Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 234.18  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 196.24
AVG Passing TDs: 1.71  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.47
AVG Rushing Yards: 159.65  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 120.59
AVG Rushing TDs: 1.76  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .71
AVG Sacks Allowed: 2.35  AVG Sacks: 2.65
AVG Ints Thrown: .59  AVG Ints: .59
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .46  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .36
Offensive Penalties: 5.94  Defensive Penalties: 6.82
 
Computer-Generated Score Computation

Bills Over Saints: 25.29-18.79



Visitor @ Home Monday, Sep 29 2025, 7:15 PM
When the Jets have the ball
Jets OffenseDolphins Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 163.76  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 230.59
AVG Passing TDs: .88  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.71
AVG Rushing Yards: 123.29  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 132.41
AVG Rushing TDs: .65  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: 1.06
AVG Sacks Allowed: 3.53  AVG Sacks: 2.29
AVG Ints Thrown: .76  AVG Ints: .53
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .38  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .4
Offensive Penalties: 6.47  Defensive Penalties: 6.12
 
When the Dolphins have the ball
Dolphins OffenseJets Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 195.41  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 226.41
AVG Passing TDs: 1.35  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 2.12
AVG Rushing Yards: 120.24  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 139.47
AVG Rushing TDs: .82  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: 1.18
AVG Sacks Allowed: 2.24  AVG Sacks: 1.53
AVG Ints Thrown: 1.06  AVG Ints:
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .32  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .38
Offensive Penalties: 5.94  Defensive Penalties: 5.35
 
Computer-Generated Score Computation

Dolphins Over Jets: 24.55-22.06



Visitor @ Home Sunday, Sep 28 2025, 1:00 PM
When the Panthers have the ball
Panthers OffensePatriots Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 194.35  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 206.59
AVG Passing TDs: 1.41  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.47
AVG Rushing Yards: 116.29  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 101.71
AVG Rushing TDs: .53  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .65
AVG Sacks Allowed: 2.06  AVG Sacks: 2.06
AVG Ints Thrown: .71  AVG Ints: .59
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .37  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .39
Offensive Penalties: 5.59  Defensive Penalties: 6.35
 
When the Patriots have the ball
Patriots OffensePanthers Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 262.29  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 215.12
AVG Passing TDs: 1.82  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.18
AVG Rushing Yards: 128.88  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 123.29
AVG Rushing TDs: 1.29  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: 1.18
AVG Sacks Allowed: 2.82  AVG Sacks: 1.76
AVG Ints Thrown: .47  AVG Ints: .88
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .43  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .5
Offensive Penalties: 5.82  Defensive Penalties: 6.41
 
Computer-Generated Score Computation

Patriots Over Panthers: 25.54-17.75



Visitor @ Home Sunday, Sep 28 2025, 4:25 PM
When the Ravens have the ball
Ravens OffenseChiefs Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 192.82  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 205.12
AVG Passing TDs: 1.35  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.06
AVG Rushing Yards: 156.59  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 105.71
AVG Rushing TDs: 1.35  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .82
AVG Sacks Allowed: 2.65  AVG Sacks: 2.06
AVG Ints Thrown: .65  AVG Ints: .59
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .37  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .44
Offensive Penalties: 5.82  Defensive Penalties: 6.35
 
When the Chiefs have the ball
Chiefs OffenseRavens Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 232.18  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 259
AVG Passing TDs: 1.35  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.35
AVG Rushing Yards: 106.59  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 106.65
AVG Rushing TDs: .88  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: 1.06
AVG Sacks Allowed: 2.76  AVG Sacks: 1.76
AVG Ints Thrown: .71  AVG Ints: .65
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .36  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .39
Offensive Penalties: 7  Defensive Penalties: 6.24
 
Computer-Generated Score Computation

Ravens Over Chiefs: 26.25-23.94



Visitor @ Home Monday, Sep 29 2025, 8:15 PM
When the Bengals have the ball
Bengals OffenseBroncos Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 249.65  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 212.12
AVG Passing TDs: 2.12  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.06
AVG Rushing Yards: 93.59  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 91.06
AVG Rushing TDs: .65  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .65
AVG Sacks Allowed: 2.12  AVG Sacks: 4
AVG Ints Thrown: 1  AVG Ints: .59
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .41  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .34
Offensive Penalties: 5.18  Defensive Penalties: 6.94
 
When the Broncos have the ball
Broncos OffenseBengals Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 231.24  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 245.59
AVG Passing TDs: 1.47  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.94
AVG Rushing Yards: 118.71  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 147.06
AVG Rushing TDs: 1.06  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: 1.06
AVG Sacks Allowed: 1.35  AVG Sacks: 2.06
AVG Ints Thrown: .65  AVG Ints: .76
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .41  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .38
Offensive Penalties: 7.29  Defensive Penalties: 6.12
 
Computer-Generated Score Computation

Broncos Over Bengals: 27.5-20.12



Visitor @ Home Sunday, Sep 28 2025, 1:00 PM
When the Browns have the ball
Browns OffenseLions Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 185.41  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 236.88
AVG Passing TDs: .94  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.82
AVG Rushing Yards: 97  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 114.53
AVG Rushing TDs: .59  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .94
AVG Sacks Allowed: 3  AVG Sacks: 2.88
AVG Ints Thrown: 1.06  AVG Ints: .76
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .37  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .37
Offensive Penalties: 6.35  Defensive Penalties: 5.35
 
When the Lions have the ball
Lions OffenseBrowns Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 268.65  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 189.41
AVG Passing TDs: 2.06  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.47
AVG Rushing Yards: 120.06  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 116.41
AVG Rushing TDs: 1.24  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .82
AVG Sacks Allowed: 2.29  AVG Sacks: 3.12
AVG Ints Thrown: .47  AVG Ints: .65
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .39  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .38
Offensive Penalties: 6.12  Defensive Penalties: 7.35
 
Computer-Generated Score Computation

Lions Over Browns: 25.3-19.97



Visitor @ Home Sunday, Sep 28 2025, 1:00 PM
When the Vikings have the ball
Vikings OffenseSteelers Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 188.71  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 261
AVG Passing TDs: 1.06  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.76
AVG Rushing Yards: 108.29  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 113.06
AVG Rushing TDs: .88  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .59
AVG Sacks Allowed: 3.53  AVG Sacks: 2.82
AVG Ints Thrown: 1.24  AVG Ints: .88
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .26  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .42
Offensive Penalties: 6.53  Defensive Penalties: 6.29
 
When the Steelers have the ball
Steelers OffenseVikings Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 213.65  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 177.71
AVG Passing TDs: 1.53  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: .88
AVG Rushing Yards: 103.29  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 124.12
AVG Rushing TDs: .94  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .76
AVG Sacks Allowed: 1.82  AVG Sacks: 2.88
AVG Ints Thrown: .53  AVG Ints: .47
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .36  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .33
Offensive Penalties: 5.94  Defensive Penalties: 6.47
 
Computer-Generated Score Computation

Vikings Over Steelers: 21.12-19



Visitor @ Home Sunday, Sep 28 2025, 1:00 PM
When the Titans have the ball
Titans OffenseTexans Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 190.65  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 205.06
AVG Passing TDs: .88  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.18
AVG Rushing Yards: 93.47  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 93.71
AVG Rushing TDs: .53  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .76
AVG Sacks Allowed: 3.29  AVG Sacks: 2.76
AVG Ints Thrown: .47  AVG Ints: 1.12
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .33  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .36
Offensive Penalties: 7.65  Defensive Penalties: 6.53
 
When the Texans have the ball
Texans OffenseTitans Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 232.71  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 248.29
AVG Passing TDs: 1.41  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.76
AVG Rushing Yards: 108.94  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 114.59
AVG Rushing TDs: .53  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: 1.24
AVG Sacks Allowed: 1.82  AVG Sacks: 2.47
AVG Ints Thrown: .53  AVG Ints: .35
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .39  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .37
Offensive Penalties: 6.94  Defensive Penalties: 6.24
 
Computer-Generated Score Computation

Texans Over Titans: 27.33-15.18



Visitor @ Home Sunday, Sep 28 2025, 4:05 PM
When the Colts have the ball
Colts OffenseRams Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 240.29  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 234.59
AVG Passing TDs: 1.47  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.53
AVG Rushing Yards: 118.06  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 110.82
AVG Rushing TDs: 1.59  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .47
AVG Sacks Allowed: 1.71  AVG Sacks: 2.76
AVG Ints Thrown: .82  AVG Ints: .94
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .37  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .36
Offensive Penalties: 6.12  Defensive Penalties: 7.12
 
When the Rams have the ball
Rams OffenseColts Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 276.88  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 262.47
AVG Passing TDs: 2.71  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.41
AVG Rushing Yards: 126.59  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 101.88
AVG Rushing TDs: 1  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .94
AVG Sacks Allowed: 1.35  AVG Sacks: 2.29
AVG Ints Thrown: .47  AVG Ints: .82
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .34  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .41
Offensive Penalties: 4.41  Defensive Penalties: 6.06
 
Computer-Generated Score Computation

Rams Over Colts: 25.49-23.91



Visitor @ Home Sunday, Sep 28 2025, 4:05 PM
When the Jaguars have the ball
Jaguars Offense49ers Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 236.82  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 241.76
AVG Passing TDs: 1.71  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.71
AVG Rushing Yards: 115.06  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 107.82
AVG Rushing TDs: 1.29  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .76
AVG Sacks Allowed: 2.41  AVG Sacks: 1.18
AVG Ints Thrown: .71  AVG Ints: .35
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .44  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .4
Offensive Penalties: 7.53  Defensive Penalties: 6.29
 
When the 49ers have the ball
49ers OffenseJaguars Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 254  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 231.35
AVG Passing TDs: 1.94  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.47
AVG Rushing Yards: 106.88  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 85.59
AVG Rushing TDs: .88  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .76
AVG Sacks Allowed: 1.59  AVG Sacks: 1.88
AVG Ints Thrown: .94  AVG Ints: 1.29
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .55  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .46
Offensive Penalties: 4.88  Defensive Penalties: 6.59
 
Computer-Generated Score Computation

Jaguars Over 49ers: 24.59-20.17



Visitor @ Home Sunday, Sep 28 2025, 4:25 PM
When the Bears have the ball
Bears OffenseRaiders Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 234.76  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 214.35
AVG Passing TDs: 1.65  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.35
AVG Rushing Yards: 144.47  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 116.82
AVG Rushing TDs: 1.12  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: 1.29
AVG Sacks Allowed: 1.41  AVG Sacks: 2.18
AVG Ints Thrown: .41  AVG Ints: .47
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .42  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .46
Offensive Penalties: 7.06  Defensive Penalties: 6.94
 
When the Raiders have the ball
Raiders OffenseBears Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 195  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 239.24
AVG Passing TDs: 1.18  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.88
AVG Rushing Yards: 77.47  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 134.53
AVG Rushing TDs: .29  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .88
AVG Sacks Allowed: 3.76  AVG Sacks: 2.06
AVG Ints Thrown: 1.12  AVG Ints: 1.35
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .31  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .34
Offensive Penalties: 6.35  Defensive Penalties: 5.59
 
Computer-Generated Score Computation

Bears Over Raiders: 26.86-17.09



Visitor @ Home Sunday, Sep 28 2025, 1:00 PM
When the Chargers have the ball
Chargers OffenseGiants Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 232.53  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 229.88
AVG Passing TDs: 1.53  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.47
AVG Rushing Yards: 121.59  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 145.29
AVG Rushing TDs: .59  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: 1.24
AVG Sacks Allowed: 3.53  AVG Sacks: 2.29
AVG Ints Thrown: .82  AVG Ints: .53
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .58  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .39
Offensive Penalties: 6.12  Defensive Penalties: 8
 
When the Giants have the ball
Giants OffenseChargers Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 217.82  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 194.94
AVG Passing TDs: 1.24  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: .94
AVG Rushing Yards: 129.12  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 105.35
AVG Rushing TDs: 1.29  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .94
AVG Sacks Allowed: 2.82  AVG Sacks: 2.65
AVG Ints Thrown: .59  AVG Ints: 1.12
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .45  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .35
Offensive Penalties: 7.53  Defensive Penalties: 5.88
 
Computer-Generated Score Computation

Chargers Over Giants: 23.95-20.94



Visitor @ Home Sunday, Sep 28 2025, 8:20 PM
When the Packers have the ball
Packers OffenseCowboys Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 226.18  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 265.94
AVG Passing TDs: 1.53  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 2.06
AVG Rushing Yards: 119.82  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 125.47
AVG Rushing TDs: 1.06  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: 1.41
AVG Sacks Allowed: 1.71  AVG Sacks: 2.06
AVG Ints Thrown: .41  AVG Ints: .35
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .5  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .47
Offensive Penalties: 6.18  Defensive Penalties: 7.88
 
When the Cowboys have the ball
Cowboys OffensePackers Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 278.53  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 206.82
AVG Passing TDs: 1.82  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.41
AVG Rushing Yards: 125.65  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 117.71
AVG Rushing TDs: 1.06  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .88
AVG Sacks Allowed: 1.82  AVG Sacks: 2.12
AVG Ints Thrown: .71  AVG Ints: .41
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .43  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .43
Offensive Penalties: 7.82  Defensive Penalties: 5.82
 
Computer-Generated Score Computation

Packers Over Cowboys: 25.82-23.15



Visitor @ Home Sunday, Sep 28 2025, 1:00 PM
When the Eagles have the ball
Eagles OffenseBuccaneers Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 205.76  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 254.82
AVG Passing TDs: 1.53  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.76
AVG Rushing Yards: 116.94  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 99.06
AVG Rushing TDs: 1  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .94
AVG Sacks Allowed: 2.06  AVG Sacks: 2.18
AVG Ints Thrown: .41  AVG Ints: .76
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .39  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .4
Offensive Penalties: 6.88  Defensive Penalties: 7.53
 
When the Buccaneers have the ball
Buccaneers OffenseEagles Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 220.88  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 204.47
AVG Passing TDs: 1.53  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: .82
AVG Rushing Yards: 114.53  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 124.41
AVG Rushing TDs: .76  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: 1.18
AVG Sacks Allowed: 2.24  AVG Sacks: 2.47
AVG Ints Thrown: .65  AVG Ints: .71
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .47  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .46
Offensive Penalties: 5.59  Defensive Penalties: 5.35
 
Computer-Generated Score Computation

Eagles Over Buccaneers: 22.77-20.93



Visitor @ Home Sunday, Sep 28 2025, 1:00 PM
When the Commanders have the ball
Commanders OffenseFalcons Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 195.82  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 221.94
AVG Passing TDs: 1.12  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.59
AVG Rushing Yards: 134.71  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 126.24
AVG Rushing TDs: 1.18  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .71
AVG Sacks Allowed: 2.18  AVG Sacks: 3.35
AVG Ints Thrown: .71  AVG Ints: .94
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .33  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .4
Offensive Penalties: 6.88  Defensive Penalties: 5.59
 
When the Falcons have the ball
Falcons OffenseCommanders Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 217.82  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 257.12
AVG Passing TDs: 1.12  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.94
AVG Rushing Yards: 125.76  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 141.82
AVG Rushing TDs: 1  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: 1.06
AVG Sacks Allowed: 1.53  AVG Sacks: 2.47
AVG Ints Thrown: .47  AVG Ints: .47
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .32  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .4
Offensive Penalties: 6.35  Defensive Penalties: 6.82
 
Computer-Generated Score Computation

Falcons Over Commanders: 24.56-20.11



Visitor @ Home Thursday, Sep 25 2025, 8:15 PM
When the Seahawks have the ball
Seahawks OffenseCardinals Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 239  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 242.82
AVG Passing TDs: 1.47  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.82
AVG Rushing Yards: 123.29  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 126.94
AVG Rushing TDs: 1.12  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: 1.12
AVG Sacks Allowed: 1.59  AVG Sacks: 1.76
AVG Ints Thrown: .88  AVG Ints: .59
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .39  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .43
Offensive Penalties: 5.88  Defensive Penalties: 5.71
 
When the Cardinals have the ball
Cardinals OffenseSeahawks Defense
AVG Passing Yards: 256.12  AVG Passing Yards Allowed: 212.88
AVG Passing TDs: 1.71  AVG Passing TDs Allowed: 1.18
AVG Rushing Yards: 93.12  AVG Rushing Yards Allowed: 91.94
AVG Rushing TDs: .53  AVG Rushing TDs Allowed: .53
AVG Sacks Allowed: 3.47  AVG Sacks: 2.76
AVG Ints Thrown: .65  AVG Ints: 1.06
AVG 3rd Down Conv: .45  AVG 3rd Down Conv Allowed: .36
Offensive Penalties: 6.76  Defensive Penalties: 6.88
 
Computer-Generated Score Computation

Seahawks Over Cardinals: 27.38-20.93

 

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