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2024 VIP Draft Kit


Table of Contents


Draft Day Advice
-General Advice
-Position Advice

-2024 NFL Schedule
-Strength of Schedule


QB Statistical Analysis
-2023 Top Performances
-2023 Most Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2023 Median Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2024 Schedule
-Easiest 2024 Playoff Schedule

RB Statistical Analysis
-2023 Top Performances
-2023 Most Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2023 Median Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2024 Schedule
-Easiest 2024 Playoff Schedule

WR Statistical Analysis
-2023 Top Performances
-2023 Most Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2023 Median Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2024 Schedule
-Easiest 2024 Playoff Schedule

TE Statistical Analysis
-2023 Top Performances
-2023 Most Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2023 Median Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2024 Schedule
-Easiest 2024 Playoff Schedule

Kicker Statistical Analysis
-2023 Top Performances
-2023 Most Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2023 Median Fantasy Points
-2023 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2024 Schedule
-Easiest 2024 Playoff Schedule

2023 Defense Rankings
-Fantasy Points Allowed (Total)
-Fantasy Points Allowed QBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed RBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed WRs
-Fantasy Points Allowed TEs
-Fantasy Points Allowed Ks

Proven Draft Strategy
-Numerical Analysis
-GCAM (Overview)
-GCAM (QBs)
-GCAM (RBs)
-GCAM (WRs)
-GCAM (TEs)
-GCAM (PKs)
-GCAM (D/ST)

Targets, Carries and Touches
-2023 Most Targets
-2023 Most Carries
-2023 Most Touches

Redzone Analysis
-2023 Redzone Passing
-2023 Redzone Rushing
-2023 Redzone Receiving
-2023 Redzone Touches

Depth Charts
-AFC East
-AFC North
-AFC South
-AFC West
-NFC East
-NFC North
-NFC South
-NFC West

Nagging Injuries
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Moving Truck Tracker
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Rookie Report
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-Dynasty/Rookie Snapshot

Sophomore Status
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs

Fantasy Studs
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Sleepers
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Duds
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Average Draft Position
-Top 150
-QB
-RB
-WR
-TE
-PK
-D/ST
-DL
-LB
-DB

ATC Cheat Sheets
QB Rankings
RB Rankings
WR Rankings
TE Rankings
PK Rankings
Team Defense/Special Teams Rankings
DL Rankings
LB Rankings
DB Rankings
Draft Board Snapshot
Top 200 Players Overall
Top 216 Auction Values

MOCK DRAFT

Ask the Commish.Com
2024
Draft Kit

WR Nagging Injuries/Suspensions

 

Godwin, Chris - TB

Godwin, Chris

Ankle - Questionable

Godwin took some time to round into form as he made his return from ACL surgery, but he found his stride at the end of the season with a WR11 and WR13 finish overall in two of his last four games. Godwin's role in 2023 was high volume, low average depth of target, and minimal impact in the red zone. Assuming he will see some positive regression in the TD department, Godwin makes for an excellent draft day target in the Round 6-7 range, specifically in PPR formats.


Aiyuk, Brandon - SF

Aiyuk, Brandon

Knee - ACL + MCL - Questionable

Aiyuk would be a Fantasy monster if he garnered more than the 6.6 targets per game he had in 2023, but he's still a borderline top-12 WR even without the mega-volume. That's because he proved to be among the most efficient receivers in the NFL last season, ranking top three at the position in yards per catch (17.9), yards per route run (3.06), yards per target (12.8 was tops in football) and explosive reception rate (a gain of at least 16 yards on 35.2% of his grabs, way ahead of the rest in the league). The best part is that of Aiyuk's 37 receptions of 16-plus yards, a dozen were on short receptions that Aiyuk turned upfield on for longer gains. It suggests Aiyuk is more than just a deep-ball receiver, though it is those splash plays that helped him land some dominant weeks last year (four with 20-plus PPR). A lift in targets would do so much more for him, and it's a possibility not only because of his talent and value to the Niners but also because of the ages of both Deebo Samuel and George Kittle, both of whom take targets away. Tack on Aiyuk playing in a contract year and you have the potential for a humongous season. Aiyuk is worth rolling the dice on in Round 3 in all leagues.


Moore, Rondale - MIN

Moore, Rondale

Knee - Questionable

Moore suffered a season-ending knee injury in a joint practice with the Dolphins. The one-time Cardinals PPR monster won't help you in your quest to win a Fantasy title this year and will compete for a roster spot next year.


HILL, TYREEK - MIA

HILL, TYREEK

Wrist - Questionable

Hill has undergone two surgeries on his left wrist this offseason, and he said after Wednesday's practice that both wrists have bothered him, per Cameron Wolfe of NFL Network, but the right side has been most bothersome and required a protective brace. Omar Kelly of the Miami Herald reports that the 31-year-old wideout is participating in most drills other than catching and blocking, while McDaniel has previously stated that the Dolphins are expecting Hill to return to full strength closer to training camp in July. Injuries and an offense focused more on short-area throws to De'Von Achane and Jonnu Smith than downfield looks resulted in both Hill and Jaylen Waddle significantly regressing in 2024, sending both tumbling down 2025 fantasy draft boards. As long as Hill continues to not infrequently fall outside the top-12 drafted wide receivers he will carry undeniable fantasy upside, though there's serious risk that even with his wrist at full health he never again approaches production similar to the back-to-back 1,700-yard seasons he logged with Miami in 2022 and 2023.


Kirk, Christian - HOU

Kirk, Christian

Collarbone - Questionable

Kirk no longer looks hindered by the broken collarbone that ended his 2024 season in Jacksonville after just eight games. The Texans traded for Kirk in early March, then selected two rookies out of Iowa State -- Jayden Higgins (second round) and Jaylin Noel (third round) -- in the 2025 NFL Draft. Even with Tank Dell (knee) nursing a serious enough injury that he could miss most, or all, of the upcoming season, Higgins and Noel represent notable competition for targets behind No. 1 wideout Nico Collins. At 6-foot-4, 212 pounds with 4.47 speed, Higgins is a physical clone of Collins capable of joining him on the boundary, while Noel's smaller frame and 4.39 speed seemingly positions him to begin as a deep threat. That leaves Kirk with a clear path to dominate slot reps, with the catch being that Noel could eventually compete for such snaps, and Houston's other wideouts could emerge as higher-priority targets for C.J. Stroud.


DIGGS, STEFON - NE

DIGGS, STEFON

Knee - ACL - Questionable

Diggs could miss time at the beginning of the season recovering from a torn ACL and will be a low-end WR2 or WR3 in fantasy.


Woods II, Michael - CLE

Woods II, Michael

Knee - Questionable


Burks, Treylon - TEN

Burks, Treylon

Knee - ACL - Questionable

It's an encouraging sign to see Burks working with the team as he heals from the ACL damage he incurred in Week 6 of the 2024 season. Per Terry McCormick of TitanInsider.com, coach Brian Callahan said Wednesday that while Burks isn't fully back, he'll be involved in practice as he progresses in his recovery. Once he's fully healthy, Tennessee hopes Burks will be able to compete for targets that don't go to Calvin Ridley with veteran wideouts Tyler Lockett and Van Jefferson, as well as rookies Chimere Dike and Elic Ayomanor.


Shaheed, Rashid - NO

Shaheed, Rashid

Knee - Meniscus - Questionable

Shaheed profiles best in standard scoring leagues as a big-play threat, but even then his scoring is unpredictable. He finished with just the 49th-most Fantasy points per game among wide receivers. Shaheed will get some run as a field stretcher to help open up space in the middle, but he is not on the Fantasy radar and shouldn't be rostered in standard leagues.


Berrios, Braxton - HOU

Berrios, Braxton

Knee - ACL - Questionable

Until Berrios receives meaningful playing time, Fantasy managers shouldn't bother adding him to their rosters.


Olave, Chris - NO

Olave, Chris

Concussion - Questionable

Olave was a popular breakout candidate heading into 2023 but ultimately failed to live up to the hype and scored just the 19th-most Fantasy points per game. However, Olave did command the 13th-most targets per game with a 40% air yardage share. Both the targets and air yards suggest the breakout is still in play and it just might happen one year later. Olave will have working for him an added year of rapport with Derek Carr, no Michael Thomas to compete with for targets, and possible positive touchdown regression coming his way. Olave is coming off the board in the back end of Round 2 or early Round 3 and should provide a WR2 floor with the upside for more.


Jones, Charlie - CIN

Jones, Charlie

Groin - Questionable

Jones missed Cincinnati's last regular-season game of the 2024 campaign due to a groin issue, but he seems to be back to full strength with offseason workouts underway. He was involved more as a returner last season than on offense, something that doesn't figure to change much in 2025 as long as Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins remain available.


Reed, Jayden - GB

Reed, Jayden

Shoulder - Questionable

Reed appears back to full health after having suffered a dislocated shoulder during Green Bay's 22-10 wild-card loss to the Eagles in January, an injury for which he didn't require surgery. The third-year pro has prioritized bulking up early in the offseason, with passing-game coordinator Jason Vrable saying in mid-May that Reed is currently 199 pounds after playing at 187 pounds in 2024. The Packers' selection of Matthew Golden in the first round of April's draft, plus Savion Williams in the third round, provides Jordan Love and the passing game the requisite tools to grow more dynamic in 2025, a development that could prove positive for Reed in Year 3 even if he faces increased target competition. Romeo Doubs (concussion) and newcomer Mecole Hardman (knee) are also practicing Wednesday.


Tillman, Cedric - CLE

Tillman, Cedric

Concussion - Questionable

Tillman missed the Browns' final six regular-season games of 2024 while in the concussion protocol and ended the year on IR, so it's encouraging to see him working without any apparent limitations during spring drills. The 2023 third-round pick seems the early favorite to earn the No. 2 receiver spot alongside Jeudy, with Elijah Moore now in Buffalo and veteran Diontae Johnson representing Cleveland's largest splash at wideout this offseason. Tillman was barely involved the first six weeks of 2024, in which span he totaled just six catches for nine yards, but he enjoyed a brief five-game breakout with Jameis Winston under center from Week 7 to Week 12. He put together a 26-330-3 receiving line on 44 targets in those five appearances, with the concussion cutting his Week 12 short at 56 percent of snaps. As Tillman works to translate that production into a true Year 3 breakout rather than a mere flash in the pan, he seems destined to once again have to overcome a quarterback rotation that will carry the risk of subpar play.


Flowers, Zay - BAL

Flowers, Zay

Knee - Questionable

Flowers missed both of Baltimore's playoff games last year due to a right knee sprain sustained during the team's regular-season finale against Cleveland, but he didn't require surgery to address the issue and now appears back to full health. He'll work to take another step forward as the leader of the Ravens' wide receiver corps entering Year 3, after having tallied a 74-1,059-4 receiving line (on 116 targets) across 17 regular-season appearances in 2024. Baltimore remains a run-heavy offense featuring QB Lamar Jackson and RB Derrick Henry, leaving a smaller share of targets to be distributed between the 2023 first-round pick, Rashod Bateman and tight ends Mark Andrews and Isaiah Likely, but Flowers' ability to create separation downfield and 4.42 speed make it possible for him to produce efficiently even without heavy volume.


Bell, David - CLE

Bell, David

Hip - Questionable

Bell is expected to be the No. 5 receiver for the Browns this season, but he has minimal Fantasy value in that role. He's not worth drafting in the majority of leagues. Cleveland has Amari Cooper, Jerry Jeudy, Elijah Moore and Cedric Tillman ahead of Bell on the depth chart, and David Njoku is also a significant factor as well. Bell has struggled to produce in two years, averaging 3.3 PPR points per game or less in each season, and that's unlikely to change in 2024. At best, you can add Bell off the waiver wire if he starts off the season playing well.


Rice, Rashee - KC

Rice, Rashee

Knee - Questionable

A suspension is possible for Rice after two off-field incidents, but that's just part of what's lowering expectations for his second season. Kansas City wasted little time this offseason adding to its receiving corps both in free agency (Marquise Brown) and the draft (Xavier Worthy with a first-round pick). Both could drag Rice's target volume down after he averaged 7.6 targets per game from Week 7 through the Super Bowl. That's especially problematic for Rice, whose average depth of target sank as the season wore on and he had just four games with more than 75 yards, postseason included. Both Brown and Worthy profile as downfield options for the Chiefs and Travis Kelce remains a fixture in the passing game, further making it unlikely for Rice to be more explosive in 2024, especially if his target share shrinks. Tack on a potential suspension and there's a clear picture of Rice disappointing Fantasy managers this coming season. He's worth considering once Round 8 starts in PPR (maybe Round 9 in non-PPR), but chances are someone else in your league will draft Rice before then.


Moore, Skyy - KC

Moore, Skyy

Abdomen - Questionable

A year ago, Moore was a promising prospect in the Chiefs passing game. Since then he fell out of favor with the team and appears relegated to fighting for a roster spot this preseason. Keep in mind, the Chiefs added veteran Marquise Brown and rookie Xavier Worthy this offseason, further narrowing Moore's chances of contributing to this offense. Moore will need consistent playing time before anyone would consider rostering him again in Fantasy.


Hardman, Mecole - GB

Hardman, Mecole

Knee - Questionable

Hardman was the game-clinching hero in overtime for the Chiefs in Super Bowl LVIII, but he didn't do much else to help the Chiefs (or the Jets, who he signed with to start last season). Until Hardman lands with a team that gives him regular playing time, Fantasy managers shouldn't bother adding him to rosters.


Reagor, Jalen - LAC

Reagor, Jalen

Finger - Questionable


Charles, Irvin - NYJ

Charles, Irvin

Knee - ACL - Questionable

Charles saw his first career target in the season finale but didn't catch it. He dressed in 12 games for the Jets but played almost exclusively on special teams. Charles added a special teams tackle in the win over New England, bringing his season total in that category to seven (six solo).


Washington, Tahj - MIA

Washington, Tahj

Undisclosed - Questionable


Rice, Brenden - LAC

Rice, Brenden

Shoulder - Questionable

Brenden Rice brings a compelling combination of size, athleticism, and football pedigree to the wide receiver position, standing out with his 6'3" frame and impressive physical presence. While his collegiate journey included a breakout season at Colorado and a productive senior year at USC, his final season dominator rating fell slightly below expectations. Nevertheless, Rice's ability to make an impact in the red zone and his proficiency in catching touchdowns highlight his potential as a scoring threat at the next level. His comparison to Josh Palmer underscores the importance of his quarterback and offensive situation in maximizing his impact on the field. Joining the Chargers in the seventh round presents Rice with an opportunity to continue his development and carve out a role in their offense.


Legette, Xavier - CAR

Legette, Xavier

Foot - Questionable

The 2024 first-round pick from South Carolina underwent offseason foot surgery, but he now appears to have fully recovered. Legette showed flashes of brilliance throughout his rookie campaign, recording 44 receptions for 497 yards and four touchdowns across 16 games. However, he struggled to be a consistent receiving threat, dropping eight passes. With the addition of 2025 first-round wideout Tetairoa McMillan, Legette is expected to have more opportunities to showcase his big-play ability on a more consistent basis.


Watson, Christian - GB

Watson, Christian

Knee - ACL - Questionable

Watson is hopeful that the hamstring problems he's dealt with over the first two seasons of his career are behind him, and he can start playing at a high level in Year 3. When healthy, Watson could be the best receiver in Green Bay, and he's worth drafting as early as Round 7 in all leagues. Hamstring problems resulted in multi-game absences three times during Watson's first two NFL seasons, and he was also removed early from other contests with a concussion, chest injury, hip injury and back/chest injury. When healthy, Watson has produced some huge games, scoring at least 16.6 PPR points in seven of 23 games, and he has averaged at least 11.3 PPR points per game in each year of his career. The Packers have a loaded receiving corps with Jayden Reed, Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks, but Watson has the highest ceiling of the group. Hopefully, he can stay healthy for most of 2024, and this could be a breakout season for him in his third year.


Doubs, Romeo - GB

Doubs, Romeo

Concussion - Questionable

Doubs, who is entering the final year of his rookie contract, has gained full clearance to participate in OTAs after he sustained a concussion during Green Bay's wild-card round loss to the Eagles in January. Jayden Reed (shoulder) and newcomer Mecole Hardman (knee) are also practicing Wednesday. Rookie first-round pick Matthew Golden and third-rounder Savion Williams represent additional notable additions to the Packers' wide receiver corps, which also returns Dontayvion Wicks and Christian Watson (ACL) in what looks like one of the league's most crowded units, though Watson's recovery could realistically sideline him until mid-season. Reed appears destined to dominate slot reps, and general manager Brian Gutekunst has talked him up as Green Bay's top wideout, while Golden's draft capital and playmaking ability give the team every incentive to find him a starting role. Doubs has proven himself as a jack-of-all-trades and a capable starter, but he's now entering a contract year facing tough competition for targets and snaps.


Polk, Ja'Lynn - NE

Polk, Ja

Shoulder - Questionable

Polk will be one of several wide receivers vying for targets in a revamped Patriots passing attack this season. The 22-year-old is excellent at the catch point and possesses acceptable, if not blazing, speed. His route running still needs some work as does his work after the catch. In redraft, concerns about the offense and Polk's role in it mean we're not drafting him until Round 11 at the earliest. The upside at that cost comes if Polk wins the WR1 job in camp and Drake Maye hits the ground running. But it's more likely that Polk ends up on the waiver wire early in the year before making an impact in the second half. We're more intrigued In Dynasty, where he's worthy of consideration in Round 2 or 3 of rookie drafts.


Mooney, Darnell - ATL

Mooney, Darnell

Shoulder - Questionable

Mooney is coming off of a 2024 campaign with Atlanta in which he caught 64 of 106 targets for 992 yards and five touchdowns over 16 contests. The wide receiver missed the team's regular-season finale versus the Panthers with a shoulder injury, but he now appears to be fully healthy ahead of 2025. Mooney likely will operate as the Falcons' No. 2 option at wide receiver alongside Drake London this season as Michael Penix officially takes the reigns at quarterback.


Wilson, Michael - ARI

Wilson, Michael

Hamstring - Questionable

Expect Wilson to compete for a decent target share this season with the Cardinals. He notched at least six targets in five of 13 games as a rookie last year but managed 14-plus PPR points just twice. The team's addition of Marvin Harrison Jr. at receiver is a lock to impact Wilson's contributions, making him more of a low-end bench player in deeper redraft leagues, even though he offers some size to the Cardinals receiving game. Expect him to get taken in Round 13 or later, and probably only in deeper full-PPR leagues.


Dell, Tank - HOU

Dell, Tank

Knee - ACL + MCL - Questionable

Dell was one of the most pleasant surprises in all of Fantasy Football as a rookie in 2023. Despite his diminutive size, Dell proved to be a separator against NFL coverage at all three levels of the field and the Texans didn't limit him to slot snaps only. He led the Texans WR group in target share and Fantasy points per game before breaking his fibula late in the season. Dell has recovered on schedule and is already participating in OTAs. His Fantasy outlook got murkier with Houston adding Stefon Diggs to the mix, but his rapport with C.J. Stroud was so advanced in 2023, Dell should be able to return value on his sixth-round Fantasy draft capital in 2024.


Bech, Jack - LV

Bech, Jack

Knee - Questionable


Conley, Chris - TBD

Conley, Chris

Elbow - Questionable

Until Conley finds meaningful playing time, Fantasy managers shouldn't bother adding him to rosters.


Webster, Nsimba - TBD

Webster, Nsimba

Groin - Questionable


Schwartz, Anthony - TBD

Schwartz, Anthony

Knee - Questionable


Turner, DJ - TBD

Turner, DJ

Knee - Questionable

Until Turner finds meaningful playing time, Fantasy managers shouldn't bother adding him to rosters.




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