-2025 NFL Schedule -Strength of Schedule
MOCK DRAFT
Ask the Commish.Com 2025 Draft Kit
Remaining healthy all year and completing his first full season since 2020, Kyler Murray finished QB10 overall and QB12 in fantasy points per game (18.1) among quarterback who made multiple starts. It was a bumpy ride to get there, as Murray topped 25 fantasy points four times (three times if you exclude his big game in Week 18) and finished with 12 or fewer fantasy points five times. That's Murray in a nutshell. He can be wildly inconsistent from game to game - or even from half to half - but his rushing ability makes for a high ceiling. Murray ran for 572 yards and five touchdowns last season. Murray profiles as a boom/bust low-end QB1.
After throwing for a league-high 4,624 yards in 2023, Tua Tagovailoa played only 11 games in 2024, missing four games with a concussion early in the season and then sitting out the final two games of the season with a hip injury. Concussions are an ongoing concern for Tua, who sustained a pair of them in 2022 and played only 13 games that year. When healthy, Tua is a capable pocket passer who offers no rushing upside. He completed a league-best 72.9% of his throws last season, though he averaged only 5.7 intended air yards per pass attempt. He's averaged a very respectable 7.6 yards per pass attempt over his career. The Miami offensive line could be problematic in 2025, but Tua has a fine pair of receivers in Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, along with TE Jonnu Smith and RB De'Von Achane. Regard Tua as a risky QB2.
Justin Herbert is widely regarded as an above-average or very good starting QB, but his offensive environment isn't conducive to big fantasy numbers. Under offensive coordinator Greg Roman, the Chargers had the 10th run-heaviest offense in the league last season. They also operated at the second slowest pace in the league last season. Herbert averaged only 29.6 pass attempts per game and finished the season with 3,870 passing yards, 23 TD passes and only three interceptions. He added 306 rushing yards and two TD runs. WR Ladd McConkey was a revelation as a rookie, and the Chargers added promising WR Tre Harris in this year's draft. Weaponry shouldn't be an issue for the talented Herbert, but a run-heavy approach and a sluggish offensive pace will likely keep Herbert from being anything more than an average fantasy quarterback.
Jared Goff hit career highs in passing yardage (4,629) and TD passes (37) despite a three-year low in pass attempts (539). Goff was ruthlessly efficient, completing 72.4% of his throws and averaging 8.6 yards per attempt - second-best in the league among qualifying QBs in both categories. That helped Goff finish QB6 in overall fantasy scoring and QB7 in fantasy points per game (19.7). But regression could be coming for Goff. He dramatically outkicked his expected fantasy points per game (16.8), and the departure of offensive coordinator Ben Johnson could put a dent in Detroit's offensive production. It's best to think of Goff as a midrange QB2 rather than the midrange QB1 he was in 2024.
Since the start of the 2022 season, Aaron Rodgers has finished as a top-12 QB in just six games - with only one top-6 finish. A-Rod has surpassed 300 passing yards just twice since Week 14 of the 2021 season. Now entering his age-41 season, Rodgers offers virtually no rushing value to buoy his fantasy floor. Last year with the Jets, Rodgers finished as the QB15 overall and QB18 in points per game (15.1), despite throwing for nearly 3,900 yards and 28 touchdowns. That offense also ranked top 5 in passing volume. It's unlikely Arthur Smith's run-heavy scheme in Pittsburgh comes close to replicating that opportunity. His days of routinely elevating the talent around him are likely over. At this point, Rodgers simply raises the floor of Pittsburgh's offense to keep their playmakers fantasy-relevant. But with a downgrade in weapons and offensive philosophy, Rodgers is merely a streaming option unless he posts an outlier-level touchdown rate. Given the alternatives, it's a win for the Steelers - but expectations should remain tempered for fantasy.