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2021 VIP Draft Kit


Table of Contents




Draft Day Advice
-General Advice
-Position Advice

-2021 NFL Schedule
-Strength of Schedule


QB Statistical Analysis
-2020 Top Performances
-2020 Most Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2020 Median Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2021 Schedule
-Easiest 2021 Playoff Schedule

RB Statistical Analysis
-2020 Top Performances
-2020 Most Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2020 Median Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2021 Schedule
-Easiest 2021 Playoff Schedule

WR Statistical Analysis
-2020 Top Performances
-2020 Most Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2020 Median Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2021 Schedule
-Easiest 2021 Playoff Schedule

TE Statistical Analysis
-2020 Top Performances
-2020 Most Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2020 Median Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2021 Schedule
-Easiest 2021 Playoff Schedule

Kicker Statistical Analysis
-2020 Top Performances
-2020 Most Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2020 Median Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2021 Schedule
-Easiest 2021 Playoff Schedule

2020 Defense Rankings
-Fantasy Points Allowed (Total)
-Fantasy Points Allowed QBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed RBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed WRs
-Fantasy Points Allowed TEs
-Fantasy Points Allowed Ks

Proven Draft Strategy
-Numerical Analysis
-GCAM (Overview)
-GCAM (QBs)
-GCAM (RBs)
-GCAM (WRs)
-GCAM (TEs)
-GCAM (PKs)
-GCAM (D/ST)

Targets, Carries and Touches
-2020 Most Targets
-2020 Most Carries
-2020 Most Touches

Redzone Analysis
-2020 Redzone Passing
-2020 Redzone Rushing
-2020 Redzone Receiving
-2020 Redzone Touches

Depth Charts
-AFC East
-AFC North
-AFC South
-AFC West
-NFC East
-NFC North
-NFC South
-NFC West

Nagging Injuries
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Moving Truck Tracker
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Rookie Report
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-Dynasty/Rookie Snapshot

Sophomore Status
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs

Fantasy Studs
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Sleepers
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Duds
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Average Draft Position
-Top 150
-QB
-RB
-WR
-TE
-PK
-D/ST
-DL
-LB
-DB

ATC Cheat Sheets
QB Rankings
RB Rankings
WR Rankings
TE Rankings
PK Rankings
Team Defense/Special Teams Rankings
DL Rankings
LB Rankings
DB Rankings
Draft Board Snapshot
Top 200 Players Overall
Top 216 Auction Values

MOCK DRAFT

Ask the Commish.Com
2021
Draft Kit

WR 2nd Year Players

 

Pittman Jr., Michael - IND

Pittman Jr., Michael

The QB change in Indy should help Pittman this season. He showed flashes of his talent during the 2020 season, but was not consistent enough in fantasy. He should make a jump in his second season and will definitely need to reach the end zone more than one time if he wants to be fantasy relevant.


Edwards, Bryan - LV

Edwards, Bryan

Edwards certainly has the talent to be a factor for fantasy football, but injuries seem to be holding him back. He should have a clear role in this offense as a starter in 2021 and he could breakout if everything goes his way. At his current ADP, he's worth taking a shot on to see if he can emerge in this offense, but it's certainly far from a guarantee. He's most likely someone that you should keep an eye on on the waiver wire versus someone worth spending a draft pick on.


Davis, Gabriel - BUF

Davis, Gabriel

Davis showed his big-time playmaking ability last season on numerous occasions and he seemed poised to take a big leap in his second year. However, the Bills also brought in veteran Emmanuel Sanders this off-season in free agency, which puts a damper on Davis' outlook. Sanders didn't sign with this team to sit on the bench and he will be involved in the weekly game plan. Davis and Sanders will most likely rotate in on the outside opposite of Diggs, which means that we might not get the big breakout that we were hoping for from Davis. He holds tremendous upside if something were to happen to Sanders or Diggs where he could step into a full-time role, but otherwise it's important to temper our expectations heading into 2021.


Claypool, Chase - PIT

Claypool, Chase

Claypool may have finished as the WR19 on the season, but his year was littered with lackluster performances. He posted WR3 or better type numbers in just 50 percent of the games last year, which was tied with Jamison Crowder and DeVante Parker for 34th among wide receivers. His four-touchdown game in Week 5 really catapulted his numbers at season's end, as he failed to top 59 yards in 11-of-16 games, making him a touchdown-or-bust option most weeks. With Ben Roethlisberger's arm strength seemingly deteriorating by the day, it's tough to see Claypool having a true breakout season in 2021, as he relies on those high value targets more than JuJu Smith-Schuster and Diontae Johnson do. Claypool is an upside pick for sure, but not one I'd bet heavily on.


Jeudy, Jerry - DEN

Jeudy, Jerry

Don't let 2020 fool you; Jerry Jeudy is a very good wide receiver. The targets that came from Drew Lock were not worth nearly as much as they should've been, and Jeudy owners should be hoping Teddy Bridgewater wins the job. He's someone who's more timing-based than Lock, and that would benefit the route runner that Jeudy is, as you could make a highlight tape of the defenders he made look silly last year, only Lock didn't find him. The quarterback competition weighs heavily on Jeudy's fantasy potential.


Mooney, Darnell - CHI

Mooney, Darnell

If you watched Mooney last year, you would've seen him routinely get open, only to be underthrown and overthrown by his quarterbacks. No matter who is under center for the Bears (it'll be Justin Fields before long), they'll be an upgrade for Mooney, who finished with 98 targets his rookie season, meaning he took over Taylor Gabriel's role and then some. With Anthony Miller crawling further and further into the doghouse, it's likely we see Mooney with a similar, if not bigger role in 2021. He's not likely to see a consistently high target share with Allen Robinson on the field, but with his field-stretching ability, he doesn't need double-digit targets to make a splash in fantasy. He'll be worth even more when Fields takes the starting job.


Jefferson, Van - LAR

Jefferson, Van

The selection of Van Jefferson in the 2nd round of the 2020 NFL Draft was puzzling to me then and it's still puzzling to me now. With DeSean Jackson playing the field-stretching role for this offense, there's no path to significant opportunity for Jefferson on this roster. He's unlikely to ever see a high percentage of snaps with Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp both healthy. Jefferson's a talented receiver, but he just doesn't have the path for targets that's needed for fantasy football.


Callaway, Marquez - NO

Callaway, Marquez

Marquez Callaway goes for 51 yards in Week 17 winSaints WR Marquez Callaway caught 3-of-4 targets for 51 yards in Sunday's Week 17 win over the Panthers.Fantasy ImpactCallaway played third-fiddle behind Emmanuel Sanders and Jared Cook. However, he has drawn four targets in reach of his past two games back from injury, which could spill over into the postseason depending on the health of Saints' skill position players currently on the shelf.


Higgins, Tee - CIN

Higgins, Tee

Higgins joined the starting lineup in Week 3 and played with Joe Burrow through Week 10 in seven full games. He was the WR11 during that time, so a WR1 despite A.J. Green getting tons of work and Tyler Boyd being a big presence. It was a phenomenal start to Higgins' career, and while I loved him as a low-end WR1/high-end WR2 this year, the pick of Ja'Marr Chase at No. 5 overall derailed that excitement. Chase is going to walk in and demand a large chunk of targets right away, as Burrow told the front office that he wanted Chase over Penei Sewell, the stud left tackle. This doesn't mean Higgins is going to go away - he won't. However, it does limit his target ceiling and lowers expectations. He should be valued as a low-end WR2/high-end WR3 with Chase in the picture.


Aiyuk, Brandon - SF

Aiyuk, Brandon

Aiyuk is a tough one to crack, as he exploded onto the fantasy scene last year, finishing with 583 yards and four touchdowns over his final seven games, but there were factors that helped him achieve those numbers. The major ones being the injuries to George Kittle and Deebo Samuel. There were just four games where the trio were on the field together, and during that time, Aiyuk saw just 21 targets (the lowest of the three) and had 13/189/1 combined in those games. To be fair, it was from Week 4-7, so it was very early in Aiyuk's rookie season, so it's possible he just hadn't earned the trust yet. There's a wide range of outcomes in his projections, going as high as a top-15 wide receiver, but also as low as a wide receiver in the WR30-36 range. You want equity when drafting, so taking Aiyuk as anything more than a WR3 when Kittle and Samuel are healthy is risky.


Peoples-Jones, Donovan - CLE

Peoples-Jones, Donovan

Donovan Peoples-Jones goes for 23 yardsCleveland Browns wide receiver Donovan Peoples-Jones caught his lone target for a 23-yard gain in a 22-17 loss to the Chiefs in the Divisional Round of the playoffs.Fantasy ImpactPeoples-Jones was quiet in the game. He turned in a handful of impressive plays as a rookie and could see a larger role in 2021 if the Browns don't add to their receiving corps in the offseason.


Lamb, CeeDee - DAL

Lamb, CeeDee

He finished as the WR24 last year, his rookie season, while dealing with some poor quarterback play. While five games is a small sample size, Lamb was the WR12 with Dak Prescott under center. Now in his second year with a full offseason, Lamb might just finish as a top-10 option, especially if the Cowboys keep deploying him from the slot.


Jefferson, Justin - MIN

Jefferson, Justin

I'm not sure many realize just how difficult it would be for Jefferson to repeat his 2020 season. Not only was he a rookie, which is amazing in it's own right, but to finish with 1,400 yards on just 125 targets is ridiculous. How did that happen? Well, he caught 70.4 percent of his targets... at 15.9 yards a pop. No other wide receiver in the history of the game has totaled 1,400 yards on 125 or less targets. Bottom line... he needs more targets if he's going to live up to expectations because that's unlikely to happen again. With the defense getting back on track with Danielle Hunter (and adding in free agency), do the Vikings trend back to their run-heavy ways? Adam Thielen is a year older, but the chemistry between him and Kirk Cousins is magical. The sky is the limit for Jefferson with his talent, but will the targets follow? Don't forget this is the same team that held Stefon Diggs to 112 or less targets in 4-of-5 seasons.


Reagor, Jalen - PHI

Reagor, Jalen

Was his disappointing rookie season a product of bad quarterback play? Bad offensive scheme? Or was it Reagor himself? It may have been a combination of all three things, though the other two have changed this offseason, as Nick Sirianni is now the head coach, and Jalen Hurts is now the quarterback. The downside is that the Eagles drafted Devonta Smith in the first round and he's immediately going to become the No. 1 target for Hurts, which puts Reagor into competition with Dallas Goedert as the No. 2 option in this offense. If Hurts pans out, Reagor could be a value later in drafts, though he may be a bit more boom/bust than you'd like due to his inconsistent targets.


Watkins, Quez - PHI

Watkins, Quez

Quez Watkins (illness) ruled out for Week 13According to NBC Philly, Eagles WR Quez Watkins has been ruled out for Week 13 and will not travel with the team to Green Bay on Sunday.Fantasy ImpactWhile there are no reports that Watkins has tested positive for COVID-19, he may have been in contact with someone who may have tested positive. He is seemingly taking added precaution by not traveling with the team, but from a fantasy perspective, Watkins is only a deep stash in dynasty formats.


Swain, Freddie - SEA

Swain, Freddie

Freddie Swain selected No. 214 by Seattle SeahawksThe Seahawks have selected Florida WR Freddie Swain with the 214th pick of the NFL Draft.Fantasy ImpactSwain ran a 4.46 40-yard dash at the Combine, so he obviously has plenty of speed. The Seahawks waited until their final pick to grab their first wide receiver, but Swain should factor into their future plans with Phillip Dorsett and David Moore on one-year deals. For redraft leagues, however, he is unlikely to make an impact.


Mims, Denzel - NYJ

Mims, Denzel

Yes, Mims was drafted in the second round last year. However, that doesn't matter much anymore. The Jets brought in a new coaching staff, and with that, they brought in a multitude of pass catchers. First, it was Corey Davis, who's built nearly identical to Mims (both 6-foot-3, just two pounds apart). Next, it was Keelan Cole, who's been underutilized throughout his career. Lastly, they drafted Elijah Moore, who's a utility blade in the offense. Oh, and they still haven't released Jamison Crowder. He's going to have a tough time seeing the field on a consistent basis.


Irwin, Trenton - CIN

Irwin, Trenton

Trenton Irwin goes 2-32 in preseason opener for FinsTrenton Irwin caught both of his targets for 32 yards in the Dolphins' preseason win over the Falcons.Fantasy ImpactIrwin is not a name to know for fantasy football, and will almost certainly not be heard from after the preseason concludes.


Gandy-Golden, Antonio - WAS

Gandy-Golden, Antonio

Antonio Gandy-Golden (hamstring) activated off IR ahead of Week 16Washington has activated rookie WR Antonio Gandy-Golden (hamstring) off IR ahead of Week 16. Fantasy ImpactWashington has released Dontrelle Inman in order to make room for AGG. Gandy-Golden hasn’t played in over two months, and isn’t likely to see a ton of work in Week 16, even if Terry McLaurin doesn’t suit up.


Johnson, Collin - NYG

Johnson, Collin

Collin Johnson leaves game with hamstring issueCollin Johnson caught his only target for eight yards on Sunday as the Jaguars lost to the Ravens by a 40-14 score in Week 15 action.Fantasy ImpactJohnson had to leave Sunday's game against the Ravens due to a hamstring injury. There have been no reports on how serious it is at this time and fantasy owners should keep an eye out for updates.




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