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2021 VIP Draft Kit


Table of Contents




Draft Day Advice
-General Advice
-Position Advice

-2021 NFL Schedule
-Strength of Schedule


QB Statistical Analysis
-2020 Top Performances
-2020 Most Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2020 Median Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2021 Schedule
-Easiest 2021 Playoff Schedule

RB Statistical Analysis
-2020 Top Performances
-2020 Most Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2020 Median Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2021 Schedule
-Easiest 2021 Playoff Schedule

WR Statistical Analysis
-2020 Top Performances
-2020 Most Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2020 Median Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2021 Schedule
-Easiest 2021 Playoff Schedule

TE Statistical Analysis
-2020 Top Performances
-2020 Most Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2020 Median Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2021 Schedule
-Easiest 2021 Playoff Schedule

Kicker Statistical Analysis
-2020 Top Performances
-2020 Most Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Avg Fantasy Points
-2020 Median Fantasy Points
-2020 Most Consistent
-Easiest 2021 Schedule
-Easiest 2021 Playoff Schedule

2020 Defense Rankings
-Fantasy Points Allowed (Total)
-Fantasy Points Allowed QBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed RBs
-Fantasy Points Allowed WRs
-Fantasy Points Allowed TEs
-Fantasy Points Allowed Ks

Proven Draft Strategy
-Numerical Analysis
-GCAM (Overview)
-GCAM (QBs)
-GCAM (RBs)
-GCAM (WRs)
-GCAM (TEs)
-GCAM (PKs)
-GCAM (D/ST)

Targets, Carries and Touches
-2020 Most Targets
-2020 Most Carries
-2020 Most Touches

Redzone Analysis
-2020 Redzone Passing
-2020 Redzone Rushing
-2020 Redzone Receiving
-2020 Redzone Touches

Depth Charts
-AFC East
-AFC North
-AFC South
-AFC West
-NFC East
-NFC North
-NFC South
-NFC West

Nagging Injuries
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Moving Truck Tracker
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs

Rookie Report
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-Dynasty/Rookie Snapshot

Sophomore Status
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs

Fantasy Studs
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Sleepers
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Duds
-QBs
-RBs
-WRs
-TEs
-PKs
-D/ST

Average Draft Position
-Top 150
-QB
-RB
-WR
-TE
-PK
-D/ST
-DL
-LB
-DB

ATC Cheat Sheets
QB Rankings
RB Rankings
WR Rankings
TE Rankings
PK Rankings
Team Defense/Special Teams Rankings
DL Rankings
LB Rankings
DB Rankings
Draft Board Snapshot
Top 200 Players Overall
Top 216 Auction Values

MOCK DRAFT

Ask the Commish.Com
2021
Draft Kit

QB Studs

 

Prescott, Dak - DAL

Prescott, Dak

Here's a fun fact: Prescott's 27.0 fantasy points per game in 2020 was the second-most all-time. What makes that stat even crazier is that his 4.05 percent touchdown rate was below the league average of 4.80 percent, so there was room for more. Of the top eight single-game performances by quarterbacks in 2020, there was only one quarterback on that list twice: Prescott, and he only played four full games. With the receiving weapons he has available, the sky is the limit, though his ankle injury could hamper his rushing upside in 2021. He's certainly someone who's going to throw for a lot of yards and touchdowns, but you need the rushing upside to get into the top-three conversation, so his risk bumps him out of that conversation.


Mahomes, Patrick - KC

Mahomes, Patrick

He failed to lead the Chiefs to a second straight Super Bowl victory and finished a distant second to Aaron Rodgers in the MVP voting, but Mahomes still impressed during his third consecutive record-setting campaign. Displaying his trademark ultra-elite arm talent - he's the master of side-arm slings and no-look darts - while battling through multiple nagging injuries, Mahomes closed out 2020 with a fantasy QB5 ranking after finishing as the QB1 (2018) and the QB6 (2019). He set new career highs in attempts (39.2/game; fifth most at the position) and completion percentage. Mahomes also placed second among NFL quarterbacks in passing yards (316.0/game) and third in touchdown strikes (2.5/game), and the opportunistic scrambler ranked 10th in both carries (4.2/game) and rushing yards (20.1/game). Fully recovered from offseason toe surgery, Mahomes will lead a lethal Kansas City offense (sixth or better in scoring, total offense and passing from 2018-20) with his arsenal of playmakers, which includes Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill, returning virtually intact. Speedy Mecole Hardman will get first crack at replacing Sammy Watkins (Ravens) with Demarcus Robinson and Byron Pringle both lurking. A Chiefs offensive line that allowed the fourth-fewest sacks during the regular season crumbled in the playoffs and finally collapsed against a ferocious Buccaneers pass rush in the Super Bowl. An off-season overhaul includes new LT Orlando Brown, new LG Joe Thuney and new C Austin Blythe. As you surely know, Mahomes' ability to rack up massive weekly passing production makes him an elite. In 46 regular-season starts, he has amassed 26 career 300-yard outings, 14 career 350-yard outings, 15 career games with at least 300 yards and three touchdowns, nine career outings with at least 300 yards and four touchdowns, and five career contests with at least 400 yards and three touchdowns. Mahomes is a special player and perennial MVP candidate with upside for 5,000 passing yards and 40 touchdown strikes as usual.


Allen, Josh - BUF

Allen, Josh

Allen was considered extremely raw as a passer when he came out of Wyoming three years ago, which makes his record-setting 2020 campaign and career-best fantasy QB1 finish all the more impressive. Thanks to a big assist from Stefon Diggs' sensational Bills debut, the cannon-armed Allen cranked out new career highs and single-season franchise records in passing yards (284.0/game; fifth most at the position) and touchdown strikes (2.3/game; fourth). Displaying vastly improved decision making, he also amassed new personal bests in attempts (35.8/game; sixth), completions and completion percentage (fourth), which he improved by 10.4 percentage points. Even though Allen was a little less productive on the ground, he remains a dynamic runner for a man of his size. Allen placed fourth at the position in carries (6.4/game) and third (tie) in rushing scores (he has notched eight rushing touchdowns three seasons in a row) but just eighth in rushing yards (26.3/game), a career low. Elite dual-threat triggerman Allen's 2021 fantasy outlook is fantastic. Offensive boss and play-caller Brian Daboll, credited with Allen's development, didn't find a head-coaching vacancy to his liking and returns to call the shots for an explosive Bills offense that finished 11th in attempts, third in passing yards, fourth in touchdown strikes, second in scoring and second in total offense this past season. Allen's top-two targets, Diggs and Cole Beasley, are both back in the mix, too. The Bills dumped John Brown (Raiders) because they have high hopes for Gabriel Davis and expect a modest leap from Dawson Knox. In addition, Emmanuel Sanders was added as a rotational target alongside Isaiah McKenzie. Buffalo's above average offensive line, which also factored heavily into Allen's 2020 success, yielded the ninth-fewest sacks, and all five starters will return. Is Allen a candidate for regression in passing production? Yes. Is he still a top-five fantasy quarterback? Yes. But will you be able to draft him on the cheap again? No.


Jackson, Lamar - BAL

Jackson, Lamar

Do you know how many times Jackson has finished with fewer than 16.5 fantasy points since taking the starting job in 2019? Four. He's posted 21.3 or more fantasy points in 22-of-30 games during that stretch, which is flat-out ridiculous. Since becoming the starter two years ago, he's posted QB1-type numbers in 76.7 percent of his games. The only other quarterback who's posted higher than 64.8 percent in their career is Patrick Mahomes, who's sitting at 69.6 percent. On top of that, Jackson now got better weapons to throw to, yet some are ranking him as the fourth-best quarterback in fantasy? Not me. Jackson should be in the conversation to be the first quarterback off the board.


Murray, Kyler - ARI

Murray, Kyler

Murray was extremely good to fantasy managers last year, delivering QB1-type performances 68.8 percent of the time, which was the third-best mark in the league. He wasn't just barely hitting those numbers, either, as he tallied 26-plus fantasy points on eight separate occasions, tied for the most in the league. The Cardinals added A.J. Green and Rondale Moore, while losing Kenyan Drake. This suggests there's going to be more dropbacks, which in turn means more fantasy points. Murray is an every-week starter and worthy of a top-five quarterback selection in the 4th/5th round.


Herbert, Justin - LAC

Herbert, Justin

What Herbert did in 2020 was miraculous. There's no two ways about it. To be handed the starting job just one hour before the game in Week 2, then go on to break the rookie record for passing touchdowns (31) is ridiculous. Now, with that being said, he still finished as the QB9 last year while throwing 595 pass attempts, the fourth most in the legaue. Now that he's got a defensive-minded head coach and a healthy defense, we could see the pass attempts dip a bit in 2021, which would certainly hurt his appeal. The Chargers did increase the talent on the offensive line, but also replaced Hunter Henry with Jared Cook, which is a certainly a downgrade. Herbert should still be a solid low-end QB1, but it's tough to see him finishing as a top-five option in 2021.


WILSON, RUSSELL - DEN

WILSON, RUSSELL

Why is Wilson continually hated by the fantasy community? His late-season struggles last year have many avoiding him in 2021, though you shouldn't be one of those people. Over the course of his career (now 144 games), he's posted top-12 type numbers in 50.7 percent of his games, which ranks sixth among quarterbacks who've started 50-plus games since 2000. That's a better career mark than Drew Brees, who was continually drafted as a top-three quarterback during his prime. Wilson has never finished worse than QB11 and has finished as a top-three quarterback in four of the last seven seasons. He's as stable as they come.




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